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Brazil's Lula holds lead over Bolsonaro in BTG/Nexus election poll

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July 27 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads Senator ​Flavio Bolsonaro in a simulated ‌second-round runoff for October's presidential election, a Nexus poll commissioned by lender ​BTG Pactual showed on ​Monday.

Leftist Lula would defeat the son ⁠of former right-wing President ​Jair Bolsonaro in a potential runoff ​by 47% to 43%, according to the survey.

A July 13 poll had Lula ​ahead by 47% to ​44%.

In a first-round scenario, Lula would lead ‌with ⁠42% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro (33%), Ronaldo Caiado (6%), Renan Santos (5%), and Romeu Zema (3%).

In Brazil, if ​no candidate ​gets ⁠more than 50% of valid votes in the ​first round, the two ​frontrunners ⁠advance to a runoff.

Nexus surveyed 2,004 people July 24-26; margin of ⁠error ​2 percentage points.